Eritrea political and conflict analysis


Project Leader: Kjetil Tronvoll

Aim of the project

ILPI’s current projects on Eritrea are focused mainly in providing analysis of conflict early warning and scenario tracking of political developments in the light of the severe human rights and humanitarian crisis in the country, and the concomitant danger of state collapse. A particular focus is applied on alternative political transitions and appropriate mechanisms of transitional justice.

Deliverables & time frame

The project deliverables are various reports and analyses:

  • Analytical and Policy reports
  • Analyses on key political developments
  • Future trajectories in Eritrea

Time frame
2012 –


ILPI has a renowned knowledge base on Eritrea, with several key staff being world-leading experts on Eritrea. Due to the severe human rights situation in the country and Eritrea’s self-imposed isolation, the country appears today as quite an enigma to outsiders. How the country will evolve in the future is uncertain, however one observes increasing signs of state fragility. As such, it risks the danger of state collapse.

There is a great and urgent need for the international community to enhance its knowledge of current political developments in the country and its regional relations. ILPI’s on-going projects on Eritrea are premised on the need for a coordinated action on analysis, policy and advocacy, crosscutting the boundaries between bilateral and multilateral relations, state and civil society interaction, including the growing engagement of diaspora actors. In the context of its on-going projects, ILPI is also actively involved in assessing relevant initiatives among diaspora-based Eritrean activists and other role players with a view to shaping credible political alternatives for Eritrea.

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ILPI has closed down. The information on this page is kept for historical reasons more information

ILPI has closed down. The information on this page is kept for historical reasons